Wednesday, 4 October 2017

Singapore Stocks analysis of OUE Commercial REIT

  1. Redemption of 75m CPPUs
  2. Aggregate leverage to increase
  3. Fair value of S$0.67

CPPU Redemption as Part of Capital Management Strategy

Singapore Stocks analysis of OUE Commercial REIT 
 
OUECT announced that it will be carrying out a redemption of 75m convertible perpetual preferred units (CPPUs) at the issue price of S$1 for each CPPU. The issuance of these CPPUs to OUECT’s sponsor was for partial payment of the purchase consideration for OUECT’s stake in One Raffles Place. Following the redemption on 2 Nov 2017, 475m CPPUs will remain outstanding. The Manager notes that this move is part of its proactive capital management strategy and to mitigate dilution in DPU from potential conversion of CPPUs into units of OUECT in the future.

Higher Finance Costs Expected

We note that the CPPUs were issued at a coupon of 1.0% p.a. in 2015, at a conversion price of S$0.841 per unit with a restricted period of 4 years from the date of issuance. While CPPU distributions will drop, OUECT’s finance costs should creep up, given that the redemption will be largely funded by existing loan facilities.

Read More - Trends You May Have Missed About Intraday Trading Signals

OUECT’s pro-forma aggregate leverage as of 30 Jun 2017 is expected to increase from 36.4% to ~38.7%. On balance, we expect DPUs to soften slightly by 0.2% and 0.8% in FY17 and FY18 against our last forecast, respectively. We also believe it is possible for more CPPUs to be redeemed ahead of the non-call period in 2019, though a full redemption of the outstanding 475m units is highly unlikely.

Maintain HOLD

We believe that the Investment Outlook 2017 for the office sector is improving, as demonstrated by the flat QoQ Grade A CBD Core monthly rents of S$8.95 in Q2’17, according to CBRE. The same sentiment can also be observed from CapitaLand Commercial Trust’s recent acquisition of Asia Square Tower 2 (excluding the hotel component), where the potential benefits from an expected uptick in Grade A office rents has been cited as one of the reasons for the transaction.
 
We will be waiting for further evidence to corroborate our view as we head into the earnings season. For now, based on our revised DPU forecasts, we maintain our HOLD rating but with a slightly lower fair value estimate of S$0.67 (previously S$0.68).

Tuesday, 3 October 2017

Singapore Stock to Consider of this Week

It is common belief that when key appointment holders or majority shareholders start to accumulate shares of their own companies, it is usually a strong indication that the company is doing well and its share price is likely to follow suit. Naturally, who else could be more familiar with the performance of the companies other than the people who are actually running the show themselves?
There may be plenty of reasons for one to sell his shares but when he does buy shares, it could only be for one particular reason. And that is – to make money. That said, let us look at three stocks which recently experienced significant insiders buying.

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding 


Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (Holdings) (YZJ) announced on 31 August 2017 a share placement of 137 million new shares at $1.53 per share to raise net proceeds of around $209 million. Upon the announcement, share price plunged by more than 13.8 percent from the close on 30 August 2017 at $1.625 to $1.40 as of 27 September 2017.

The group intends to use up to half of the net proceeds to fund new investments and business expansion through acquisitions, and the remaining for working capital and general corporate purposes including the repayment of bank loans and debts.
As YZJ’s finance strength was robust with a net cash of Rmb1.1 billion before the placement, doubts were raised with regard to the need to raise funds, and there were speculations that the group was preparing for major mergers and acquisitions activities. Other possible explanations include enhancing liquidity due to tightened capital controls arising from certain high-profile incidents in China.

Yangzi International Holdings lent out 137 million shares to facilitate in the share placement, which is beneficially owned by the YZJ Settlement in which Ren Yuanlin, chairman of YZJ, is deemed interested in. Pursuant to the full settlement of the loan of the shares, Ren’s deemed interest in YZJ has enlarged from 22.7 percent to 25.4 percent as of 25 September 2017.

 Health Management International


Health Management International (HMI) owns and operates two tertiary hospitals in Malaysia – namely Regency Specialist Hospital (Regency) in Johor as well as Mahkota Medical Centre (Mahkota) in Malacca.

Mahkota, one of the most comprehensive cancer centre South of Kuala Lumpur, has plans to increase its capacity by adding 34 beds to its existing 266 beds making it to 300 beds in FY18. In addition, the medical centre stands to benefit from more flight routes for the Malacca airport in October 2017, which currently only offers flights to Pekanbaru and Penang.

Meanwhile, following a successful turn-around in 2014, HMI has confirmed its plans to double Regency’s bed capacity from the current 218-beds to an eventual 500-beds hospital. Construction of the new extension block is expected to commence in FY18 and slated for completion by FY21 at an estimated cost of RM160 million.

Both hospitals continue to register healthy patient growth as patients volume grew 3.7 percent year-on-year in 4Q17 and the growth of foreign patients has outpaced local patients. With the acquisition of 100 percent stake in the two hospitals completed in March 2017, higher earnings contribution due to the full ownership structure can be expected.

Dr Gan See Khem, Executive Chairman of HMI, has accumulated about 829,000 HMI shares through Nam See Investment over the last two week between the range from $0.635 to $0.655. As at 22 September 2017, Dr Gan’s deemed interest in HMI has grown eight basis points to 39.8 percent.

According to a research report by Maybank Kim Eng on 25 August 2017, the brokerage house maintained a BUY rating on HMI with a price target of $0.80.

Mapletree Logistics Trust


Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT)
recently entered into an agreement to acquire Mapletree Logistics Hub Tsing Yi in Hong Kong from its sponsor, Mapletree Investments, at a consideration of HK$4.8 billion.

The acquired building is an 11-storey ramp-up warehouse with a net lettable area of 148.1k square meter. The property has remaining leasehold of 46 years, located in a strategic location to the city centre, and will be 100 percent occupied by October 2017. The agreed acquisition price is attractive as it translated into a net property income (NPI) yield of 5.7 per annum and is about 2.4 percent below valuation.
The acquisition is estimated to lift MLT’s asset under management and NPI by 15 percent and 14 percent respectively. In addition, it is also expected to be distribution per unit accretive, although aggregate leverage will edge up marginally to 38 percent.

As a result of a purchase of 600,000 units by DBS Group Holdings via a market transaction, major shareholder Temasek Holdings (Temasek) deemed interests in MLT have inched up to 40 percent as at 14 September 2017. Temasek’s deemed interests in MLT arise from the aggregation of interests held by DBS Group Holdings and Mapletree Investments.

A research report by Maybank Kim Eng released on 29 August 2017 revealed that the broker maintained a HOLD rating on MLT, giving it a target price of $1.20.

Source -  Sharesinv.com

Share Market Analysis of First REIT

  • Modern medical facilities
  • Catering to BPJS scheme patients
  • Potential acquisitions in FY17

Site Visit to Properties in Jakarta

Share Market Analysis of First REIT www.mmfsolutions.sg

 

 

We visited four of First REIT’s (FREIT) hospitals in Jakarta recently – Siloam Hospitals Lippo Village (SHLV), Siloam Hospitals Kebon Jeruk (SHKJ), Mochtar Riady Comprehensive Cancer Centre (MRCCC), and Siloam Hospitals TB Simatupang (SHTB). The hospitals are operated by PT Siloam International Hospitals TBK (Siloam) and are well-equipped with modern medical facilities.
Each hospital also has its own Centre of Excellence, which is its areas of specialisation, such as heart surgery and neurosurgery at SHLV. We also understand that both SHLV and SHKJ have obtained the coveted JCI-accreditation, which bears testament to their level of medical excellence.

Integrated With the Health Insurance Programme by the BPJS

According to The Jakarta Post, the Jakarta administration has plans for all hospitals in the capital to become partners of the Healthcare and Social Security Agency (BPJS Kesehatan), and this could be a requirement for the extension of hospital permits and accreditation. As of 12 Sep 2017, only 64 out of the 160 private hospitals registered in Jakarta currently co-operate with the BPJS.
During our visit, we noted that the 4 FREIT assets had arrangements / facilities in place to cater to patients under the BPJS scheme, with the Class III wards catered for them in very good condition. While we believe that the margins from patients seeking treatment under the BPJS scheme might not be as high as those under private insurance or self-payment, we still think that the programme will nonetheless help operators like Siloam increase utilisation of their wards and facilities.

Maintain HOLD

The latest reported inflation for Singapore in August 2017 was up 0.4% YoY, moderating from July’s 0.6%; Jan-Aug 2017 registered 0.6% YoY growth. Consequently, the median Bloomberg consensus for 2017’s CPI has been revised downwards from 0.9% to 0.8%.
We believe that the slight dip should not significantly affect base rental revisions, and that potential accretive acquisitions this year should help to provide DPU support.
Based on our projections, FREIT is currently trading at a FY17 distribution yield of 6.4% and a P/B ratio of 1.3x. We maintain our HOLD rating and our fair value estimate of S$1.38.

Sunday, 1 October 2017

Blog of The Week ....

HOW AFFECTED SINGAPORE AIRLINES SHARE PRICE – SIA

Singapore Airlines Limited (SGX: C6L) a synonym for great care with compassion and luxury with trust, is a renowned national airline of Singapore. It is registered in Singapore SGX as an air transporter to serve passengers and deliver cargos at their respective destination. Aside from its namesake full-service airline it also owns a majority stake … Continue reading
Benjamin Franklin once quoted- “By failing to prepare, you are preparing to fail.” True but making ourselves prepared for the upcoming risks is incomplete until we know what are our useful resources and how to optimally utilize them for better results. This optimum utilization of available resources is equally important for a trader to trade … Continue reading

THE SECRET OF SUCCESSFUL SHARE INVESTMENT IN SINGAPORE COMPANIES

Share investment is always about timings and winnings. When investors decide to make money, then no winds could stop them. Some stock prices are too high to buy and some are too low, which keeps investors in dilemma of buying or not buying those shares. If you too face this problem, its high time to … Continue reading

SORE POINTS TO WATCH OUT BEFORE INVESTING IN A COMPANY SHARES

Today, we can’t find any single company which has a perfect record when it comes to investing in their stocks. It seems as if it is hard to find a company share which can show a linearly upward trading trend on any of the renowned stockbroking platforms.  A lesson of how to protect ourselves and … Continue reading

THE INTERMEDIATE GUIDE TO SINGAPORE NOBLE SHARE PRICE

Noble Group (SGX: N21) – a renowned Singapore-listed physical commodities trader is a market leading global supply chain manager of Energy, Metals and Carbon Steel material and Power and Gas products. But despite such a huge name in the commodity market, Noble group share prices have fallen by 62% in June 2016. As a result, … Continue reading