Showing posts with label sgx market information. Show all posts
Showing posts with label sgx market information. Show all posts

Tuesday, 17 October 2017

Good Time to BUY M1 Ltd

  • Met 73% of our 9M17 estimate
  • NB-IoT network takes time to ramp up
  • Maintain HOLD

9M17 Revenue Growth Driven Mainly by Fixed Services

Good Time to BUY M1 Ltd www.mmfsolutions.sg

 

M1 Ltd’s (M1) 3Q17 revenue grew 1.0% YoY to S$251.6m driven mainly by fixed services (+19.9%) and mobile post-paid (+3.4%) revenues but partly offset by weaker handset sales (-13.6%) and international call services (- 7.0%). Fixed services revenue growth was driven by a 20.0% YoY increase in customer base despite recording 6.1% decline in ARPU, while mobile revenue growth was mainly driven by higher post-paid customer base and flat YoY ARPU.

3Q17 operating expenses rose at a slower pace of 0.6% YoY to S$209.1m due to a 21.8% decline in advertising and promotion expenses, offset by higher depreciation. Consequently, EBITDA increased 1.3% YoY to S$75.5m. However, NPAT fell 4.8% YoY to S$32.7m as taxation increased 13.1% to S$7.2m. For 9M17, revenue rose 2.3% YoY to S$763.9m driven mainly by fixed services and handset sales.

However, operating expenses grew 4.8% to S$633.3m due to higher handset costs and higher wholesale costs of fixed services. Consequently, 9M17 NPAT declined 13.9% YoY to S$68.6m and EBITDA fell 5.0% to S$228.0m, which formed 72% and 73% of our FY17 forecasts, respectively.

No Change in FY17 Outlook Guidance

For FY17, M1 keeps its guidance unchanged:

  1. capex to be around S$150m,
  2. expects NPAT to decline YoY for FY17, and 3) intends to maintain 80% dividend payout ratio for FY17.
Looking ahead, we believe competition within the mobile segment will continue to put pressure on ARPU with the impending entry of TPG as well as the announced intention of MyRepublic to launch mobile services as a Mobile Virtual Network Operator (MVNO). While M1 has recently launched nationwide NB-IoT network, it expects mass adoption to take time as a new technology and with the eco-system still evolving.

Separately, we do not expect M1’s ICT business to contribute materially in the near-term as it needs time to ramp up as well.


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With a set of in-line 9M17 results, we keep our forecasts unchanged and note the lack of any near-term catalysts driving earnings. Hence, we maintain our HOLD rating and the same FV of S$1.65.

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Tuesday, 10 October 2017

SPH REIT Share Investment update

  1. 4QFY17 DPU +0.7% YoY
  2. FY17 portfolio rental reversion of 1.2%
  3. Full committed occupancy

4QFY17 Results Within Expectations

SPH REIT reported an in-line set of 4QFY17 results, with gross revenue and NPI growing by 1.3% and 3.9% YoY to S$52.9m and S$41.8m, respectively. This was driven by higher rental income from both Paragon and The Clementi Mall (TCM), coupled with higher NPI margins (+2 ppt YoY to 79.0%) due to proactive management of utility contracts, lower property tax and maintenance expenses.
SPH REIT Share Investment update - www.mmfsolutions.sg


DPU for the quarter came in at 1.42 S cents, representing YoY growth of 0.7% as management released S$4.5m of taxable income available for distribution retained in 9MFY17, versus S$1.6m released in 4QFY16.

For its full-year performance, SPH REIT reported a 1.5% increase in gross revenue to S$212.8m and a 4.5% jump in NPI to S$168.1m. The latter formed 101.5% of our FY17 forecast. DPU of 5.53 S cents translated into growth of 0.5% and constituted 99.0% of our FY17 projection.

Negative Rental Reversion for Paragon a Surprise

Both Paragon and TCM maintained their 100% committed occupancy, as at end-FY17. However, a downside surprise came from Paragon’s negative rental reversion figure of 0.8% for expiries in FY17. As rental reversions for the mall were positive in 9MFY17 at 3.6%, this implies a weak 4QFY17 showing.

The softness came largely from the retail space, as reversions for the office/medical leases were flat. TCM fared better, with positive rental uplifts of 3.7% for the full-year, thus resulting in an overall portfolio rental reversion of 1.2% in FY17. Shopper traffic for both malls was stable.

While Paragon achieved higher tenant sales of 2.1% in FY17, TCM saw a 5.8% decline. Nevertheless, the occupancy cost for Paragon (19.6%; unchanged) and TCM (15.8%; +0.8 ppt) remains healthy, in our view.

There were also positives from SPH REIT’s portfolio valuation, underpinned by a compression in cap rates adopted by the valuers, as rental assumptions held steady. Paragon’s valuation rose 1.5% to S$2,695m, while that of TCM inched up 1.6% to S$583m.

Maintain BUY

Taking into account this full-set of results, we trim our FY18 and FY19 DPU forecasts by 1.1% and 1.8%, respectively. But as we also roll forward our valuations, our DDM-derived fair value estimate remains unchanged at S$1.08. Maintain BUY.

Thursday, 5 October 2017

Singapore REITs Performance

Singapore’s manufacturing and electronics Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) continued their robust momentum, coming in at 52.0 and 53.6 for the month of Sep, representing MoM increases of 0.2 and 0.4 points, respectively. 
 
Singapore REITs Performance www.mmfsolutions.sg
 
This also represented the 13th and 14th consecutive month of expansion, respectively.
 
Read More - Singapore Share Market Preview

Similarly, we saw last week another month of strong industrial production in Singapore for Aug, with YoY growth of 19.1% registered. This was higher than the street’s expectations for an increase of 16.0%. This trend has also been observed in the Eurozone, with the manufacturing PMI of 58.1 in Sep at the highest level since Feb 2011.

We believe these data points augur well for the sentiment of industrial REITs, although this would be partly offset by continued supply pressures in Singapore in the near-term which would weigh on rental reversion figures.

We like Suggest Frasers Logistics & Industrial Trust [BUY; FV: S$1.22] and Mapletree Logistics Trust [BUY; FV: S$1.35] within the industrial REITs space.

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Tuesday, 3 October 2017

Share Market Analysis of First REIT

  • Modern medical facilities
  • Catering to BPJS scheme patients
  • Potential acquisitions in FY17

Site Visit to Properties in Jakarta

Share Market Analysis of First REIT www.mmfsolutions.sg

 

 

We visited four of First REIT’s (FREIT) hospitals in Jakarta recently – Siloam Hospitals Lippo Village (SHLV), Siloam Hospitals Kebon Jeruk (SHKJ), Mochtar Riady Comprehensive Cancer Centre (MRCCC), and Siloam Hospitals TB Simatupang (SHTB). The hospitals are operated by PT Siloam International Hospitals TBK (Siloam) and are well-equipped with modern medical facilities.
Each hospital also has its own Centre of Excellence, which is its areas of specialisation, such as heart surgery and neurosurgery at SHLV. We also understand that both SHLV and SHKJ have obtained the coveted JCI-accreditation, which bears testament to their level of medical excellence.

Integrated With the Health Insurance Programme by the BPJS

According to The Jakarta Post, the Jakarta administration has plans for all hospitals in the capital to become partners of the Healthcare and Social Security Agency (BPJS Kesehatan), and this could be a requirement for the extension of hospital permits and accreditation. As of 12 Sep 2017, only 64 out of the 160 private hospitals registered in Jakarta currently co-operate with the BPJS.
During our visit, we noted that the 4 FREIT assets had arrangements / facilities in place to cater to patients under the BPJS scheme, with the Class III wards catered for them in very good condition. While we believe that the margins from patients seeking treatment under the BPJS scheme might not be as high as those under private insurance or self-payment, we still think that the programme will nonetheless help operators like Siloam increase utilisation of their wards and facilities.

Maintain HOLD

The latest reported inflation for Singapore in August 2017 was up 0.4% YoY, moderating from July’s 0.6%; Jan-Aug 2017 registered 0.6% YoY growth. Consequently, the median Bloomberg consensus for 2017’s CPI has been revised downwards from 0.9% to 0.8%.
We believe that the slight dip should not significantly affect base rental revisions, and that potential accretive acquisitions this year should help to provide DPU support.
Based on our projections, FREIT is currently trading at a FY17 distribution yield of 6.4% and a P/B ratio of 1.3x. We maintain our HOLD rating and our fair value estimate of S$1.38.

Saturday, 5 August 2017

Singapore Stock Market News: SGX, MAS draw further fire over Noble saga

Singapore Stock Market News - http://www.mmfsolutions.sg

SINGAPORE Securities exchange controllers are going under weight, with advertising eyewitnesses on Friday joining Iceberg Research in saying that more could have been done to ensure speculators in the long-drawn Noble Group adventure for Singapore Stock market.
Their remarks come as the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) reacted on Friday morning to Iceberg’s feedback, saying that it will catch up with recorded organizations to research any claims of anomalies.
Corporate administration advocate Mak Yuen Teen, a partner teacher at the National University of Singapore, said Iceberg’s feedback is not without justification.
He disclosed to The Business Times: “While I can comprehend the controllers being reluctant to do anything, particularly when there is no evident wrongdoing – and remember that Noble has been getting spotless review feelings – there is a sense among financial specialists that the controllers are excessively detached and respond just when issues have achieved a moment that it’s excessively late to ensure speculators.
There are additionally administrative crevices for outside postings, regardless of whether in applying laws and rules or adequately implementing them, he included.
Honorable has, for example, passed the review by EY, however, this was done from the Hong Kong office, which does not have a similar open oversight that Singapore evaluators are liable to.
This may influence review quality,” said Prof Mak.
Outside evaluators in Singapore experience review assessments, otherwise called the work on checking program, by the Accounting and Corporate Regulatory Authority (Acra).
The program is thorough and genuine lacks can bring about approvals, Prof Mak noted. “It is presumably the one region in the Corporate administration that we are in front of Hong Kong, which is moving towards that.”
In whole, Singapore’s administrative system “is not by any means fit with the end goal of outside postings, while we keep on trying to draw in such postings”, he said.
In the interim, the MAS told BT on Friday that it will catch up with recorded organizations to examine any assertions of anomalies.
MAS will likewise examine potential ruptures of the law that have been alluded to us,” said it’s representative. “Should MAS’s own particular examinations reveal any infringement of our directions, we won’t either to take the essential authorization activities.
A chunk of ice had said on Thursday that the Noble adventure uncovered the “total disappointment” of the controllers in Singapore because of their inaction.
The Singapore Exchange (SGX) and MAS ought not to have enabled Noble to raise more cash on a monetary record, which had pulled in inquiries over its veracity, it said.
SGX reacted on Thursday, saying that it has reliably connected a similar way to deal with organizations that were the subject of the negative editorial.
“The organization has the privilege of the first answer and ought to react as fast and completely as would be prudent,” said an SGX representative.
We will audit the organization’s reaction to check whether it has tended to every one of the purposes of concern. Notwithstanding, if the reaction is lacking, we will inquiry the organization or direct the arrangement of an outside expert to guarantee appropriate exposure to the Singapore stock market.
The trade would, in the meantime, audit the negative discourse to check whether it contains false or misdirecting explanations that justified a referral to the pertinent experts, she included.
The reactions by SGX and MAS drew fire from previous venture investor Michael Dee. He brought up that Noble has neither reacted exhaustively nor tended to all purposes of concern but then has not gotten any question from SGX.
He additionally got some information about the examinations MAS has done, and the conclusions drawn from them, assuming any.
Ice sheet said because of SGX and MAS’ answers: “Their response won’t fulfill the investors who have been deceived and lost practically everything.”
Offers in Noble Group slipped a further 0.5 penny, or 1.33 for every penny on Friday to close at 37 Singapore pennies, broadening its 5 for every penny decay on Thursday.